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Paper Tigers
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Own Team Analysis:
- For the second consecutive year, I started with two mediocre keepers (Took Kyler Murray to try and avoid this next year). Getting the 12th pick meant there really are no Top 30 players on my team. That’s a tough place to start. Considering that, I am satisfied with how the draft went for my team apart from having Hicks and Patterson go right in front of me in the first round. At QB, I have two dual-threat QBs at the top. I sort of felt forced into Wimbush as I don’t like their schedule or new offense. Troy Williams is key. If he is the starter at Utah, there should be three good QBs since they are going AirRaid-ish. At RB, I used 3 early picks on this position. Dedrick Mills may have gone a bit early but they are not deep at that position and GTech RB can pile up the TDs. I really thought that John Kelly would be gone at that point. Don’t really love him but adds some depth at RB. Wouldn’t be shocked if LJ Scott ended up not being one of my top 2 RBs. I left WR for a little later in the draft. Then took a bunch of them in the middle rounds with hope that someone like Cobbs, Holmes or Morgan will hit big. Have high expectations for Proehl to catch 70-80 passes. Overall, this is probably my weakest team on paper that I can remember going into the year. But there have been two years where I thought I had the strongest or close to strongest squad only to see that unravel with injuries/performance so who knows. Waivers can make a big difference also. I added Philip Lindsay and Austin Carr to make up for a mostly crummy draft last year and finish in the top half of the league.
Favorite of Own Picks:
- Round 5 – John Kelly - I thought he’d go third or fourth round but this was end of the 5th. Not much depth at this position, but Tennessee should still score. Seems like there is decent upside here which is why I went RB when I didn’t want to. Some obvious games to sit him vs Bama, Fla, LSU, Mich but maybe can start in some nonconference games or Mizzou, Kentucky.
- Round 13 – Stanley Morgan - Nebraska is supposed to throw this year. They have the QB that Riley wants. They don’t have many great weapons and Morgan is said to be the No.1 even with off field trouble.
Least Favorite of Own Picks
- Round 2 – Brandon Wimbush – Just don’t like him that much with the schedule but didn’t know where to go at pick 13. Had a clear top 12 and those 12 went 1-12. Looking at the picks after him I really don’t know who I shoulda taken. Don’t love any of the guys taken 14-18 that much.
- Round 15 – Jacob Park – I regretted this one about a round later. Thought the pocket passers would go a little earlier. I do think he’ll be OK if Lanning stays away from QB position, but I forgot that they may stick LB Lanning back to run some goalline stuff and that could make Park useless if they do go that direction.
Favorite of Other Team Picks: (Last year: Dede Westbrook, Tommy Armstrong, Justin Stockton, Reginald Davis, Mitch Leidner, Manny Wilkins/Brady White – Basically really right on one and wrong on all the others)
- Round 1 – Kyle Hicks – Waxy Frogs – I had Hicks as a top 3 player on board. I didn’t think he’d go Top 3 but I thought 4-8 somewhere. Versatile back with not much competition at the position. I think he could be a top 3 RB including keepers with like 15-18 TDs rushing and receiving combined in an improved offense. He’s the guy to own on TCU, IMO.
- Round 5 – Steve Ishmael – Heisman Hopefuls – The guy really didn’t show it last year but everyone seems to think that its him that will make the jump this year with Amba gone. The upside here is huge with how much they pass. The only real concern that I have is that the schedule features a number of really good defenses.
- Round 5 – Brandon Dawkins – Winsley’s Warriors – I actually considered him at pick 13 until reading more about their QB situation. With his rushing numbers, all he’d have to do is be average through the air to be a QB1. This assumes he wins the job which is not a definite. Love their schedule. Probably the best schedule for a fantasy QB in the country. I woulda taken him for value at end of this round.
- Round 12 – Marquise Brown – Orgy of Evil – Good upside at this point. Strongly considered him vs Willies at beginning of this round. Oklahoma will need someone to rack up the yards at WR.
- Round 17 – Cameron Batson – Winsley’s Warriors – I don’t know how much he’ll do as he faded off last year but that much production in that offense shouldn’t go Round 17.
- Round 19 – Malik Rosier – California Raisins – I think this is good value. I had considered him for a few rounds. I know he’s not the odds-on favorite to win that race and its quite open but if he wins the job, maybe he plays well and keeps it. Could turn into a QB2 with his mobility. At this point, he presents good value.
Other Team Picks I don’t like so much (Last year: Justin Jackson, Brad Kaaya, Austin Allen, Mack Hollins, Gerald Wicks – Basically right on all except Justin Jackson)
- Round 2 – Parris Campbell – Heisman Hopefuls – A lot of unknowns here for Round 2. Maybe he could be Curtis Samuel but he also could not be. I did not have him going this high at all. First pick that surprised me in draft.
- Round 3 – Kalen Ballage – California Raisins – Its not like he’s not worth something but first pick of Round 3 was early for me when so much of his fantasy value was in a single game vs Kliff last year. It is nice that he gets so much red zone work. I assume that will continue.
- Round 4 – Will Grier – End Zone Divas – He’s not gonna run much and their running game is strong. I think he will be a better college football player than a Soul12 player.
- Round 6 – James Williams – Drunk Jocks – I’d be curious to hear the rationale here. They just have so many RBs. I know his numbers last year were pretty good combining rushing and receiving but I just can’t picture how you could start a Wazzou RB when they rotate 3 to 4 guys almost interchangeably.
- Round 8 – J.J. Taylor – Orgy of Evil – Maybe you know something I don’t know.
- Round 9 – Jake Bentley – Asian Alley Cats – Criticizing Blitzer’s picks feels like talking about the Spurs 28th draft pick but without much mobility, it doesn’t seem like South Carolina is going to pass a ton so this feels early. I had him much lower – like Round 17.
- For the second consecutive year, I started with two mediocre keepers (Took Kyler Murray to try and avoid this next year). Getting the 12th pick meant there really are no Top 30 players on my team. That’s a tough place to start. Considering that, I am satisfied with how the draft went for my team apart from having Hicks and Patterson go right in front of me in the first round. At QB, I have two dual-threat QBs at the top. I sort of felt forced into Wimbush as I don’t like their schedule or new offense. Troy Williams is key. If he is the starter at Utah, there should be three good QBs since they are going AirRaid-ish. At RB, I used 3 early picks on this position. Dedrick Mills may have gone a bit early but they are not deep at that position and GTech RB can pile up the TDs. I really thought that John Kelly would be gone at that point. Don’t really love him but adds some depth at RB. Wouldn’t be shocked if LJ Scott ended up not being one of my top 2 RBs. I left WR for a little later in the draft. Then took a bunch of them in the middle rounds with hope that someone like Cobbs, Holmes or Morgan will hit big. Have high expectations for Proehl to catch 70-80 passes. Overall, this is probably my weakest team on paper that I can remember going into the year. But there have been two years where I thought I had the strongest or close to strongest squad only to see that unravel with injuries/performance so who knows. Waivers can make a big difference also. I added Philip Lindsay and Austin Carr to make up for a mostly crummy draft last year and finish in the top half of the league.
Favorite of Own Picks:
- Round 5 – John Kelly - I thought he’d go third or fourth round but this was end of the 5th. Not much depth at this position, but Tennessee should still score. Seems like there is decent upside here which is why I went RB when I didn’t want to. Some obvious games to sit him vs Bama, Fla, LSU, Mich but maybe can start in some nonconference games or Mizzou, Kentucky.
- Round 13 – Stanley Morgan - Nebraska is supposed to throw this year. They have the QB that Riley wants. They don’t have many great weapons and Morgan is said to be the No.1 even with off field trouble.
Least Favorite of Own Picks
- Round 2 – Brandon Wimbush – Just don’t like him that much with the schedule but didn’t know where to go at pick 13. Had a clear top 12 and those 12 went 1-12. Looking at the picks after him I really don’t know who I shoulda taken. Don’t love any of the guys taken 14-18 that much.
- Round 15 – Jacob Park – I regretted this one about a round later. Thought the pocket passers would go a little earlier. I do think he’ll be OK if Lanning stays away from QB position, but I forgot that they may stick LB Lanning back to run some goalline stuff and that could make Park useless if they do go that direction.
Favorite of Other Team Picks: (Last year: Dede Westbrook, Tommy Armstrong, Justin Stockton, Reginald Davis, Mitch Leidner, Manny Wilkins/Brady White – Basically really right on one and wrong on all the others)
- Round 1 – Kyle Hicks – Waxy Frogs – I had Hicks as a top 3 player on board. I didn’t think he’d go Top 3 but I thought 4-8 somewhere. Versatile back with not much competition at the position. I think he could be a top 3 RB including keepers with like 15-18 TDs rushing and receiving combined in an improved offense. He’s the guy to own on TCU, IMO.
- Round 5 – Steve Ishmael – Heisman Hopefuls – The guy really didn’t show it last year but everyone seems to think that its him that will make the jump this year with Amba gone. The upside here is huge with how much they pass. The only real concern that I have is that the schedule features a number of really good defenses.
- Round 5 – Brandon Dawkins – Winsley’s Warriors – I actually considered him at pick 13 until reading more about their QB situation. With his rushing numbers, all he’d have to do is be average through the air to be a QB1. This assumes he wins the job which is not a definite. Love their schedule. Probably the best schedule for a fantasy QB in the country. I woulda taken him for value at end of this round.
- Round 12 – Marquise Brown – Orgy of Evil – Good upside at this point. Strongly considered him vs Willies at beginning of this round. Oklahoma will need someone to rack up the yards at WR.
- Round 17 – Cameron Batson – Winsley’s Warriors – I don’t know how much he’ll do as he faded off last year but that much production in that offense shouldn’t go Round 17.
- Round 19 – Malik Rosier – California Raisins – I think this is good value. I had considered him for a few rounds. I know he’s not the odds-on favorite to win that race and its quite open but if he wins the job, maybe he plays well and keeps it. Could turn into a QB2 with his mobility. At this point, he presents good value.
Other Team Picks I don’t like so much (Last year: Justin Jackson, Brad Kaaya, Austin Allen, Mack Hollins, Gerald Wicks – Basically right on all except Justin Jackson)
- Round 2 – Parris Campbell – Heisman Hopefuls – A lot of unknowns here for Round 2. Maybe he could be Curtis Samuel but he also could not be. I did not have him going this high at all. First pick that surprised me in draft.
- Round 3 – Kalen Ballage – California Raisins – Its not like he’s not worth something but first pick of Round 3 was early for me when so much of his fantasy value was in a single game vs Kliff last year. It is nice that he gets so much red zone work. I assume that will continue.
- Round 4 – Will Grier – End Zone Divas – He’s not gonna run much and their running game is strong. I think he will be a better college football player than a Soul12 player.
- Round 6 – James Williams – Drunk Jocks – I’d be curious to hear the rationale here. They just have so many RBs. I know his numbers last year were pretty good combining rushing and receiving but I just can’t picture how you could start a Wazzou RB when they rotate 3 to 4 guys almost interchangeably.
- Round 8 – J.J. Taylor – Orgy of Evil – Maybe you know something I don’t know.
- Round 9 – Jake Bentley – Asian Alley Cats – Criticizing Blitzer’s picks feels like talking about the Spurs 28th draft pick but without much mobility, it doesn’t seem like South Carolina is going to pass a ton so this feels early. I had him much lower – like Round 17.