NE -6?

[bengaldoug]

Friday update -- 26000 bets online and the line has moved to NE -7.5 ..... still 74% of ats bets on New England, so that would indicate it's public money moving the line up....apparently the public is thinking like Kramer......

 

[DanBengalfan]

facebook.com:
A.J. Green (says)
Cam Newton > Tim Tebow.

 

[Be Weary of Query]

Who do you guys use to bet?

I haven't been on Bodog in months and it now redirects you to bovada.lv apparently?

I'm not a very trusting individual so does this smell right to you? Anyone else got the same thing going?

 

[bengaldoug]

Who do you guys use to bet?

I haven't been on Bodog in months and it now redirects you to bovada.lv apparently?

I'm not a very trusting individual so does this smell right to you? Anyone else got the same thing going?

Bodog was one of my sites.....the website change was motivated by their poker room I believe....they were one of the few still taking US players after the big sting on Apr 15 of this year, known in online poker circles as "black Friday"....they still are taking US poker players.....Bodog was one of the more dependable books I ever ran across.....the money has always been safe there, and I have received payouts many times from there, usually within a week of requesting one....

 

[cravnravn]

Who do you guys use to bet?

I haven't been on Bodog in months and it now redirects you to bovada.lv apparently?

I'm not a very trusting individual so does this smell right to you? Anyone else got the same thing going?

I use Horsebetting.com..Its a one stop shop, I bet the horses, play in the casinos and bet the sporksbook

Horse Betting | Kentucky Derby Bets

 

[cravnravn]

And Doug just a tid bit for you

Skirts Brady is 1-5 AT Denver

 

[bengaldoug]

And Doug just a tid bit for you

Skirts Brady is 1-5 AT Denver

Another factor in Denver's favor.....along with the line value......I know this much, if you wanted to bet the Pats, that ship already sailed at -4.5 early this week....now it's Denver +7.5 or nothing.....

 

[cincygrad]

I have Denver +7 in my pick league and I'm going with NE. I know Brady's historic trend at Denver, but those were with different teams under different scenarios. The easiest way to mess with New England is to throw the ball all over the yard and then play D. While the D is there, Tebow has not shown any ability to put up big passing numbers (until the 4th quarter).

I think the Pats want to beat Tebow badly -- And you know Belicheck isn't leaving anything to chance in the 4th quarter. If he gets the lead he'll do everything in his power to extend it.

 

[DanBengalfan]

At some point, teams have to stop referring to the Broncos as an easy win.

 

[bengaldoug]

I have Denver +7 in my pick league and I'm going with NE. I know Brady's historic trend at Denver, but those were with different teams under different scenarios. The easiest way to mess with New England is to throw the ball all over the yard and then play D. While the D is there, Tebow has not shown any ability to put up big passing numbers (until the 4th quarter).

I think the Pats want to beat Tebow badly -- And you know Belicheck isn't leaving anything to chance in the 4th quarter. If he gets the lead he'll do everything in his power to extend it.

You could be right this time, grad, but in the long run if you take the worst of it on the line you have zero chance to win......the best way to bet this game imo is to have New England at -4.5 and Denver at +7.5 and you have a three point middle that includes two live numbers (NE by 6 or 7).....I didn't get down on NE at 4.5 so I will probably either leave the game alone or have a small bet on Denver +7.5......I make enough dumb selections that I can never afford to take the worst of the spread.....

 

[cincygrad]

You could be right this time, grad, but in the long run if you take the worst of it on the line you have zero chance to win......the best way to bet this game imo is to have New England at -4.5 and Denver at +7.5 and you have a three point middle that includes two live numbers (NE by 6 or 7).....I didn't get down on NE at 4.5 so I will probably either leave the game alone or have a small bet on Denver +7.5......I make enough dumb selections that I can never afford to take the worst of the spread.....

I'd normally stay away, but I trust the pats in this scenario.

 

[kramer1]

Like taking candy from a baby.

 

[kramer1]

Told ya....

Jinx?

 

[cincygrad]

Don't put it past the Broncos to get a garbage score and cover.

 

[kramer1]

Don't put it past the Broncos to get a garbage score and cover.

If they cover this shit is fucking rigged.

 

[kramer1]

I think the Pats win by 20+.

18 was good enough.

To all who bet Denver.....DUH!!!!!!!!

 

[DanBengalfan]

this game was too screwy to bet on.

 

[kramer1]

this game was too screwy to bet on.

No, it wasn't. It was the easiest bet you might ever see.

 

[bengaldoug]

The line moved 3.5 points from the opener.....no way I could bet New England at -8......I was however at least lucky enough to pass.....

 

[kramer1]

The line moved 3.5 points from the opener.....no way I could bet New England at -8......I was however at least lucky enough to pass.....

You doubted my expertise? This was a no-brainer.