ZiPS Projections

[element1286]

BBTF's Transaction Oracle Discussion :: 2012 ZiPS Projections - Pittsburgh Pirates

FWIW

 

[element1286]

Burnett's ZiPS projection with Yankees
ERA+ of 84, 9-10, 5.31, 159.3 IP

Burnett's ZiPS projection with Pirates
ERA+ of 91, 9-11, 4.22, 168.1 IP

 

[Illinest]

Saw it already. Dont think its worth much. Interesting to note that their predicted win total is 72 however. I have 71 in the poll.

 

[thedddd]

Wonder what the record prediction will be without Derrek Lee and with Burnett? I could only imagine the

Also I always love the comparison players. You tend to forget of some of those players but just think if Marte comes an Adam Jones or Robert Kelly (in prime?). Also Neil Walker becomes a Travis Fryman and heck Garrett Jones a Richard Hidalgo (in prime). Yeah take them with a grain of salt but it makes for a fun converstation.

 

[element1286]

Wonder what the record prediction will be without Derrek Lee and with Burnett? I could only imagine the

Also I always love the comparison players. You tend to forget of some of those players but just think if Marte comes an Adam Jones or Robert Kelly (in prime?). Also Neil Walker becomes a Travis Fryman and heck Garrett Jones a Richard Hidalgo (in prime). Yeah take them with a grain of salt but it makes for a fun converstation.

Yes, definitely my favorite part.

 

[thedddd]

Wonder what the record prediction will be without Derrek Lee and with Burnett? I could only imagine the record being better?
Also I always love the comparison players. You tend to forget of some of those players but just think if Marte comes an Adam Jones or Robert Kelly (in prime?). Also Neil Walker becomes a Travis Fryman and heck Garrett Jones a Richard Hidalgo (in prime). Yeah take them with a grain of salt but it makes for a fun converstation.

Not sure how I cut off half my own sentence!

 

[element1286]

Saw it already. Dont think its worth much. Interesting to note that their predicted win total is 72 however. I have 71 in the poll.

It isn't really a real world projection. A few years ago, the system projected every team to win 71 games or more and none more than 91. So you'd have to normalize these projections to a real life scenario, maybe taking the worst projection and having them at 60 wins, and the highest project and having them around 100 wins.