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MHSL82
Well-Known Member
When Do We Win/Lose? (Every game, obviously.)
When we win or tie the Offensive Rebounds: 8-17
When we lose the Offensive Rebounds: 6-9
Defensive Rebounds: 13-13, 1-13
Total Rebounds: 12-15, 2-11
Assists: 10-8, 4-18
Steals: 6-10, 8-16
Blocks: 10-18, 4-8
Turnovers: 4-9, 10-17 (Win = Fewer TOs)
FG%: 13-2, 1-24
3PTM: 10-12, 4-14
3PT%: 8-7, 6-19
FTA: 10-9, 4-17
FT%: 9-9, 5-17
Transition: 11-13, 3-13
Points in Paint: 11-15, 3-11
Points Off Turnovers: 5-9, 9-17 (W = Fewer Points Given Away)
Why do we have a better record when losing the turnovers and points off turnovers battle? Aggressiveness?
Offense
Wins:
401/845 (47.5%), 82/219 3PT (37.4%), 224/288 (77.8%, 26.2 ATT), 10.4 Off Reb, 35.1 Def Reb, 20.9 Asts, 5.7 Stls, 5.7 Blks, 19.6 PFs, 100.7 Pts, 13.4 Transition, 43.5 Points in the Paint, 15.2 TOs, 17.1 Points off TOs.
Losses:
748/1679 (44.6%), 136/434 (31.3%), 330/469 (70.4%, 22.3 ATT), 11.9 Off Reb, 28.2 Def Reb, 19.8 Asts, 6.4 Stls, 5.0 BLKs, 18.6 PFs, 93.9 PTs, 12.5 Transition, 44.0 Points in the Paint, 14.4 TOs, 18.1 Points off TOs.
As far as I can tell, only shooting, getting to the line, and defensive rebounds have any real significance in winning. Assists, TOs, and some transition do a little. Steals, offensive rebounds, TOs, and points in the paint, not really. - This suggests that aggressiveness leads to more TOs, but more points. Shooting better, duh.
Defense
Wins:
374/897 (41.7%), 72/226 (31.9%), 181/245 (73.9%, 22.3 ATT), 9.2 Off Def, 27.5 Def Reb, 17.6 Asts, 8.1 Stls, 3.8 Blks, 22 PFs, 91.0 PTs, 10.8 Transition, 38.7 Points in the Paint, 11.5 TOs, 15.0 Points off TOs.
Losses:
856/1708 (50.1%), 175/431 (40.6%), 312/409 (76.3%, 19.5 ATT), 10.1 Off Def, 30.1 Def Reb, 20.8 Asts, 7.8 Stls, 5.2 Blks, 19.1 PFs, 104.7 PTs, 11.3 Transition, 43.4 Points in the Paint, 12.2 TOs, 15.0 Points off TOs.
In our wins, we hold opponents to a significantly lower field goal percent. This is a duh statement, but look how drastic of a change it is. Three point shooting, too. Rebounding is clearly important, as are assists for our opponents. Steals are not, but blocks are (leads to worse shooting for us, right?) Points in the paint allowed is a bigger factor than points we score in the paint. More turnovers = more points for our opponents, too. Aggressiveness leads to TOs and points. Points off turnovers, again, not very significant.
Differences: (This is our stats when we win subtract opponent stats when we win NOT wins minus losses. You can do that by sight, if you'd like.)
Wins:
44.6% - 50.1% = 5.5% Worse than Opponents, 31.3% - 40.6% = 9.3% Worse 3PT%, 70.4% - 76.3% = 5.9% Worse FT%, 1.2 more Off Reb, 7.6 More Def Reb, 3.3 More Asts, 2.4 Fewer Stls, 1.9 More Blks, 2.4 Fewer Fouls, 9.7 More Points, 2.6 More Transition, 4.8 More Pts in the Paint, 3.7 More TOs, 2.1 More Points Off Turnovers
Losses:
47.5% - 41.7% = 5.8% Better than Opponents, 37.4% - 31.9% = 5.5% Better 3PT%, 77.8% - 73.9% = 3.9% Better FT%, 1.8 more Off Reb, 1.9 Fewer Def Reb, 1.0 Fewer Asts, 1.4 Fewer Stls, 0.2 Fewer Blks, 0.5 More Fouls, 10.8 Fewer Points, 1.2 Fewer Transition, 0.6 More Pts in the Paint, 2.2 More TOs, 3.1 More Points Off Turnovers
Updated: 1/17/2015 but not totals.
When we win or tie the Offensive Rebounds: 8-17
When we lose the Offensive Rebounds: 6-9
Defensive Rebounds: 13-13, 1-13
Total Rebounds: 12-15, 2-11
Assists: 10-8, 4-18
Steals: 6-10, 8-16
Blocks: 10-18, 4-8
Turnovers: 4-9, 10-17 (Win = Fewer TOs)
FG%: 13-2, 1-24
3PTM: 10-12, 4-14
3PT%: 8-7, 6-19
FTA: 10-9, 4-17
FT%: 9-9, 5-17
Transition: 11-13, 3-13
Points in Paint: 11-15, 3-11
Points Off Turnovers: 5-9, 9-17 (W = Fewer Points Given Away)
Why do we have a better record when losing the turnovers and points off turnovers battle? Aggressiveness?
Offense
Wins:
401/845 (47.5%), 82/219 3PT (37.4%), 224/288 (77.8%, 26.2 ATT), 10.4 Off Reb, 35.1 Def Reb, 20.9 Asts, 5.7 Stls, 5.7 Blks, 19.6 PFs, 100.7 Pts, 13.4 Transition, 43.5 Points in the Paint, 15.2 TOs, 17.1 Points off TOs.
Losses:
748/1679 (44.6%), 136/434 (31.3%), 330/469 (70.4%, 22.3 ATT), 11.9 Off Reb, 28.2 Def Reb, 19.8 Asts, 6.4 Stls, 5.0 BLKs, 18.6 PFs, 93.9 PTs, 12.5 Transition, 44.0 Points in the Paint, 14.4 TOs, 18.1 Points off TOs.
As far as I can tell, only shooting, getting to the line, and defensive rebounds have any real significance in winning. Assists, TOs, and some transition do a little. Steals, offensive rebounds, TOs, and points in the paint, not really. - This suggests that aggressiveness leads to more TOs, but more points. Shooting better, duh.
Defense
Wins:
374/897 (41.7%), 72/226 (31.9%), 181/245 (73.9%, 22.3 ATT), 9.2 Off Def, 27.5 Def Reb, 17.6 Asts, 8.1 Stls, 3.8 Blks, 22 PFs, 91.0 PTs, 10.8 Transition, 38.7 Points in the Paint, 11.5 TOs, 15.0 Points off TOs.
Losses:
856/1708 (50.1%), 175/431 (40.6%), 312/409 (76.3%, 19.5 ATT), 10.1 Off Def, 30.1 Def Reb, 20.8 Asts, 7.8 Stls, 5.2 Blks, 19.1 PFs, 104.7 PTs, 11.3 Transition, 43.4 Points in the Paint, 12.2 TOs, 15.0 Points off TOs.
In our wins, we hold opponents to a significantly lower field goal percent. This is a duh statement, but look how drastic of a change it is. Three point shooting, too. Rebounding is clearly important, as are assists for our opponents. Steals are not, but blocks are (leads to worse shooting for us, right?) Points in the paint allowed is a bigger factor than points we score in the paint. More turnovers = more points for our opponents, too. Aggressiveness leads to TOs and points. Points off turnovers, again, not very significant.
Differences: (This is our stats when we win subtract opponent stats when we win NOT wins minus losses. You can do that by sight, if you'd like.)
Wins:
44.6% - 50.1% = 5.5% Worse than Opponents, 31.3% - 40.6% = 9.3% Worse 3PT%, 70.4% - 76.3% = 5.9% Worse FT%, 1.2 more Off Reb, 7.6 More Def Reb, 3.3 More Asts, 2.4 Fewer Stls, 1.9 More Blks, 2.4 Fewer Fouls, 9.7 More Points, 2.6 More Transition, 4.8 More Pts in the Paint, 3.7 More TOs, 2.1 More Points Off Turnovers
Losses:
47.5% - 41.7% = 5.8% Better than Opponents, 37.4% - 31.9% = 5.5% Better 3PT%, 77.8% - 73.9% = 3.9% Better FT%, 1.8 more Off Reb, 1.9 Fewer Def Reb, 1.0 Fewer Asts, 1.4 Fewer Stls, 0.2 Fewer Blks, 0.5 More Fouls, 10.8 Fewer Points, 1.2 Fewer Transition, 0.6 More Pts in the Paint, 2.2 More TOs, 3.1 More Points Off Turnovers
Updated: 1/17/2015 but not totals.
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