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2014 Kansas City Chiefs

MHSL82

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HOME: Denver Broncos, Oakland Raiders, San Diego Chargers, New England Patriots, New York Jets, Tennessee Titans, St. Louis Rams, Seattle Seahawks

AWAY: Denver Broncos, Oakland Raiders, San Diego Chargers, Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins, Pittsburgh Steelers, Arizona Cardinals, San Francisco 49ers
 

MHSL82

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I know teams change and this is too early, but looking at the opponents and locations, this is what I think would be the ideal schedule for the Chiefs:

1. San Diego (Home) - Hard enough team to prepare for, but a good chance that KC can beat them if they prepare and are healthy (yes, vice-versa). Since San Diego will have time to prepare too, this one at home, not the other way around.

2. @ Buffalo. If the Chiefs do as they should against the Bills, this should be a game to either bounce back from the SD game or add to the 1-0 record. In before the snow - which is cool, but I don't want random losses by slippery footballs.

3. New England - First real test and at home. Maybe their players aren't healthy yet?

4. @ Miami - bounce back game if KC loses to NE. Miami could be better than last year, but you have to play them some time. The Chiefs get to stop at home before the next road game.

5. @ Denver - KC is in between Miami and Denver and wouldn't you rather get the road game over with and not play them in two weeks?

6. @ Arizona - Road trips are necessary, and while the Chiefs are unlikely to stay in Arizona, going back to KC before Arizona is not that bad.

7. Seattle (Home) - Need to get back home, want to face Seahawks before physically drained. I realize that this could be a three game losing streak. But look at the schedule, somewhere is likely.

8. @ Oakland - like to get a road game before the bye week because the Chiefs are going home after. Hopefully win the battle before going home. This game shouldn't be overlooked, but it is before a bye and before the Denver game. Reid likes to hold back.

9. Bye week.

10. Denver at home - want this after the bye and with time to prepare.

11. @ Pittsburgh - Before the snowstorms. Unfortunately they could be rolling by now - or they could be reeling/tired.

12. Tennessee - Stop on the way to San Francisco. Hopefully Tennessee hasn't found their identity.

13. @ San Francisco - Have to play them sometime, want it to be early enough that the Chiefs can recover from a physical game that is likely a loss. Niners be a' blitzing like the preseason game. Smith did well against the blitz in 2011 because it meant less coverage, but not so well with the vanilla protection packages in preseason.

14. NY Jets - No one is a gimme, but maybe they've imploded and it's at home. If KC loses the Niners game, this could not only be more important but also, easier. Not easy per se as all teams fluctuate, but Niners are hard enough that the Jets' best case scenario is "easier."

15. @ San Diego - Yes, they seem to be hot in the second half of seasons, but wouldn't you rather play them late and not the last game.

16. St. Louis - Home game near home.

17. Oakland - Last week has to be divisional and I wouldn't want to be playing the Chargers or Broncos for the playoffs spot. Could rest and maybe still win if KC has clinched again. If KC hasn't won the division, a home game to end it could be beneficial.

Considerations of changes: The Oakland games could switch so that if you do need that last game, it's at home and in the cold (not used to it for Oakland).

There's always the idea of starting out with the hardest because then you get all off-season to prepare - but starting 1-0 is important, too. If you have to start out with a hard game other than the Chargers, I would want it to be the Patriots week one. Third choice, the Niners week one.

If the bye week is early, after the 6th game, then I would switch the @ Denver and Seattle games. I would then switch the home Denver game with the Jets game and the Niners game with the Titans game.

If the bye week is late, like the 10th game, then I would switch the Titans and Denver home games and switch the Jets/Niners games.
 
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MHSL82

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Again, I know it's early and the teams can all change due to injuries, draft, free agency, coaching changes, etc. Just for fun, we'll see how far off the schedule is when it's released.
 

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It sucks that KC will have to face the two Superbowl teams and the two conference runner-ups. That looks like 4 loses for this year's team. Maybe with an off-season, KC wins one of them (preferably the Denver game since it's in the division). Then the NE game is at home, as well as Seattle. Still underdogs, but sticking with the theme of year one, beat everyone you should, year two, repeat and beat a few you "shouldn't", and year three, beat everyone (not 16-0 but all types consistently).

Then, besides those five, you have two SD games and Arizona and Miami. You should win three of those. You got to beat a rising team somewhere.

The other 7 are favorable. Buffalo, St. Louis (wildcard, could be good), Jets (improved, but so should KC), two Oakland games (divisions foes are always good for a hard game or two). Pittsburgh - can't imagine two bad years, but they are beatable, like KC is. Tennessee is in the same boat.

Summary below.
 

MHSL82

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Best case: 10-6

1. @ Denver, @ San Francisco - Lose both. Test will be how close.
2. Seattle, New England, San Diego twice, Denver (home) - Win three. Lose two.
3. Tennessee, Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo, St. Louis - Win three, lose two.
4. Oakland twice, New York Jets, Arizona - Win all four. Won't be easy, but here's the step up?

Worst case: 7-9

1. @ Denver, @ San Francisco, Seattle, New England- Lose all.
2. San Diego twice, Denver (home) - Win one. Lose two.
3. Tennessee, Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo, St. Louis - Win three, lose two.
4. Oakland twice, New York Jets, Arizona - Win three, lose one.

Combo: 8-8

1. @ Denver, @ San Francisco - Lose both.
2. Seattle, New England, @San Diego, Denver (home) - Win two. Lose two.
3. Tennessee, Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo, San Diego - Win three, lose two.
4. Oakland twice, New York Jets, Arizona, St. Louis - Win three, lose one.
 
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MHSL82

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Best case: 10-6

1. @ Denver, @ San Francisco - Lose both. Test will be how close.
2. Seattle, New England, San Diego twice, Denver (home) - Win three. Lose two.
3. Tennessee, Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo, St. Louis - Win three, lose two.
4. Oakland twice, New York Jets, Arizona - Win all four. Won't be easy, but here's the step up?

Worst case: 7-9

1. @ Denver, @ San Francisco, Seattle, New England- Lose all.
2. San Diego twice, Denver (home) - Win one. Lose two.
3. Tennessee, Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo, St. Louis - Win three, lose two.
4. Oakland twice, New York Jets, Arizona - Win three, lose one.

Combo: 8-8

1. @ Denver, @ San Francisco - Lose both.
2. Seattle, New England, @San Diego, Denver (home) - Win two. Lose two.
3. Tennessee, Miami, Pittsburgh, Buffalo, San Diego - Win three, lose two.
4. Oakland twice, New York Jets, Arizona, St. Louis - Win three, lose one.

Yes, I know, the real worst case is losing all of the first two categories. But I made up for that by having an unrealistic best case scenario, too. ;) Seriously though, I do think that if KC loses to a team they should beat, they will beat one they shouldn't. But it'll even out to the above. Schedule order has a play in it, as I don't see a big streak either way unless the stars align and then fall off the other way.
 
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MHSL82

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Key Dates for NFL Offseason

Jan 18: East-West Shrine Game
Jan 25: Senior Bowl
Feb 17: First day to designate Franchise/Transition players
Feb 19-25: Combine
Mar 8-11: Contact with agents of impending free agents may begin
Mar 11: New league year, free agency begins, excercise options prior to 4 PM ET, submit qualifying offers to RFAs by 4 PM ET, submit minimum tender to retain exclusive rights RFAs, be under 2014 salary cap.
Mar 23-26: Owners meeting
Apr 7: Teams with new head coaches begin offseason program
Apr 21: Teams begin offseason program.
May 2: Deadline for RFAs to sign offers
May 7: Deadline for prior club to excerise right of first refusal on RFAs.
May 8-10: NFL Draft
May 19-21: Annual Spring Meeting
 

MHSL82

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I found this collection of Kansas City Links. I cannot take credit for it, but wanted to share:

Forum Internal
2014 Draft
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    NFL.com Coverage
2014 Preview
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The Kansas City Chiefs Database Archives
 

MHSL82

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MHSL82

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A pretty cool calculator for the cap that you can move around - cut, restructure, extend, trade, etc.

The trade option may or may not affect the cap. You don't get to trade for picks or anything, just select trade, cut, restructure, extend, or leave as is.

Salary Cap Calculator - Over the Cap
 

MHSL82

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From CBS linked below, will have to go to link to see the gifs in it though if they do not copy right.

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/e...fseason-preview

With the 2013 season officially in the books the Eye on Football staff is looking ahead to the offseason for all 32 NFL teams. Next up: The Kansas City Chiefs.

Maybe the Chiefs should trade for a 49ers quarterback every offseason. It worked with Joe Montana in 1993 when he led the Chiefs to the playoffs in his first year with the team and it worked in 2013 with Alex Smith. For Kansas City's offense, going from the combination ofBrady Quinn and Matt Cassel in 2012 to Alex Smith in 2013 was like going from a slightly used bike to a Corvette that you only had to pay two draft picks to get.

Smith was good last season because he was good at running Andy Reid's offense. It's a pairing that could have blown up quickly if Smith had been unsuccessful early on, but that didn't happen and the Chiefs shot out of the gate in 2013 and won their first nine games. The Chiefs rode that winning streak to the postseason where they took a gut punch from the Colts.

No one wants their season to end in a game where they blow a 28-point lead, but keep in mind, it could've been worse for fans Kansas City; the Chiefs could have not been in the playoffs at all. Another thing that would have been worse? If Derrick Johnson had injured Jamaal Charles with this Chief-on-Chief Pro Bowl hit. Didn't Johnson watch the Chiefs' playoff game? Didn't he know Charles was only three weeks removed from a concussion?

What went right

After a season in 2012 where almost everything went wrong, the opposite happened in Kansas City in 2013 and almost everything went right. The Alex Smith trade paid off and it paid off quickly. Smith had seven touchdown passes after Week 4 which is only one less than Quinn and Cassel combined to throw for in 2012. Things went right for Andy Reid too, he got to go back to Philadelphia in Week 4 and exact revenge on the Eagles in prime time on Thursday Night Football. Kansas City won its first nine games of the season, tying the franchise-record for longest regular-season winning streak that was originally set in 2003.

What went wrong

The second half of Kansas City's playoff loss to the Colts kind of sums up what went wrong in 2013. The Chiefs defense blew a 38-10 second half lead in a game that Kansas City would lose 45-44. The 28-point comeback was the second biggest in NFL playoff history. It's hard to say anyone saw the defensive collapse coming, but the signs were there. The defense -- and especially the secondary -- struggled over the final eight weeks, including the playoff loss.

Kansas City didn't give up 300 yards passing to any opposing quarterback during the season's first nine weeks, but over the final eight weeks, it happened five times. There probably also should have been a red flag raised somewhere when the Raiders put up 31 points on the Chiefs, marking the only time all season that Oakland scored 30 or more points.

MVP

Jamaal Charles. The Chiefs scored 41 offensive touchdowns in 2013 and Charles scored almost half of those (19). But that doesn't even do justice to what Charles meant to the Chiefs offense. The running back led the Chiefs in receptions (70) and receiving yards (693). And rushing yards (1,287). And rushing touchdowns (12). And receiving touchdowns (7). Charles pretty much led the Chiefs in everything. Oh and I haven't even mentioned his total offensive yards yet. Charles totaled 1,980 offensive yards in 2013, more than the Chiefs next three highest players -- Dwayne Bowe, Donnie Avery and Dexter McCluster -- combined.

LVP

Dunta Robinson. Not only did Jamaal Charles lead the team in almost every offensive statistic, but he almost recorded more tackles (4) in 2013 than Robinson did (13). When your running back only has nine less tackles than your cornerback that you signed to a $13.7 million deal, that's a problem, but it's a problem the Chiefs fixed by cutting him. Robinson only started two games in 2013 and only played in a total of eight games.

What has happened since the season ended

It's been a quiet offseason in Kansas City for everyone not named Dunta Robinson. Robinson, who signed a three-year, $13.7 million deal with the Chiefs in March, was cut in early February. The move adds about $3 million in 2014 cap space for the Chiefs, something the team desperately needed. Kansas City's offseason has also been an endless 'Will they or won't they' debate when it comes to re-signing Branden Albert -- which leads us directly to our next topic.

Impending free agents

If you have a piece of paper in front of you that lists Kansas City's starting offensive line from 2013, go ahead and set that piece of paper on fire because you won't be needing it for 2014. The Chiefs have three big free agents on the offensive line and it's highly unlikely that all three end up back in Kansas City next season.

There have been reports that the Chiefs have no intention of keeping left tackle Branden Albert, however, general manager John Dorsey disputed that notion at the combine saying that he 'had conversations with Braden's representatives.' The problem for Dorsey is that even if he wants to keep Albert, it's unlikely he'll be able to afford the kind of money Albert is expected to demand.

The Chiefs will probably also have to make a decision between Geoff Schwartz and Jon Asamoah. The two offensive lineman split time at right guard last season and it may not make financial sense to keep both players. If the Chiefs only keep one, Schwartz might be the better choice because he can do almost everything on the offensive line. During his five-year career, he's started games at both guard spots and right tackle.

Here's the complete list of the Chiefs unrestricted free agents:S Hussain Abdullah, LT Branden Albert, G Jon Asamoah, S Quintin Demps, DE Tyson Jackson, LB Robert James, LB Akeem Jordan, S Kendrick Lewis, WR Dexter McCluster, G Geoff Schwartz, WR Kyle Williams, LB Frank Zombo.

Free-agency game plan

If you watched Colts quarterback Andrew Luck throw for 443 yards and four touchdowns against the Chiefs in the playoffs, you may have thought to yourself, 'Wow, Kansas City could really use some safety help.' If you thought that, you thought right. However, if the Chiefs are going to make a big splash and get a safety, they might have to wait until the draft to do it. The Chiefs aren't expected to have a lot of wiggle room under the cap -- they should have around$6.5 million-$8.5 million depending on the final 2014 cap number -- so it's unlikey they'll sign any big names. Besides safety, Kansas City could also use a wide receiver. And preferably one who doesn't drop passes when they're wide open.

Draft game plan

Preparing for the draft is probably going to be a little different for Andy Reid this year. In 2013, Reid and the Chiefs had the top pick, so they didn't have to worry about what any other team did. This year, Kansas City won't make its first selection until the 23rd overall pick. A wide receiver, tight end or anyone in the secondary would probably make the most sense for the Chiefs.

The first round pick is a big one for Kansas City because after that, there's going to be a little bit of a lull for everyone in the war room. The Chiefs won't pick again until the third round because Kansas City sent its second round pick to San Francisco as part of the Alex Smith deal.

If Kansas City does go wide receiver with the 23rd pick, it wouldn't be the first time: Dwayne Bowe was drafted with the 23rd overall pick in 2007.

So who will the Chiefs take in the first round? CBSSports.com senior NFL columnist Pete Prisco hasKansas City going withLSU receiver Odell Beckham Jr. CBS Sports NFL Insider Pat Kirwan thinks the Chiefs will grab North Carolina tight end Eric Ebron in the first round. NFLDraftScout.com's Dane Brugler and Rob Rang have the Chiefs taking Beckham and Alabama safety Ha Ha Clinton Dix in their mock drafts.

Ridiculously premature prediction for 2014

Here's a list of all the team's Kansas City plays in 2014 that had a losing record in 2013: St. Louis, Tennessee, Buffalo and Oakland twice. That's only five games. That means the rest of Kansas City's schedule is hard. As a matter of fact, it's so hard that it's ranked seventh toughest going into next season. Strength of schedule can definitely fluctuate -- bad teams from the prior season can be good and good teams can be bad -- but it's hard to see that happening with most of the good teams on Kansas City's schedule. The Chiefs play five games against teams that have been good consistently and should be good next year: New England, San Francisco, Seattle and Denver twice.

What I'm trying to say here is that even if Kansas City fields a better team next season, they might not end the year with a better record. Actually, I'm not trying to say that, that's exactly what I'm saying.

Predicted record: 9-7
 

MHSL82

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CusswordJim

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Nice...you put a lot of work and time in this.
 

cdumler7

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Been missing some of you guys. Always enjoyed some of our back and forths as most of you knew how to keep things very civil and brought some very good knowledge to the discussion. Definitely hoping some of you come back a bit more. Plus some Raider fans are starting to get a big head again thinking they are on their way to the Super Bowl again. Need a few more AFC West fans making sure to keep them on level ground before their heads explode.
 

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I hope to be able to add to these boards this year....not that I know anything, just that I am a fan.
 
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