Texas Rangers 2022 - 2023 Offseason Thread

[saddles]

Via Scott Lucas

I feel good about my thought process yesterday, if I may say so. Four sure things, a belief that Ornelas seemed the type to be picked if unprotected, and “a group of five or six pitchers in which I expect at least one to be added.” I improved on 2021, when Texas selected only three of the six I expected, omitting OF Bubba Thompson and lefties Cole Ragans and Jake Latz.

Winn, White, and Ornelas are Texas’s top three picks from 2018. Kent is a 9th-rounder from 2019. Harris was acquired with OF Marcus Smith for Mike Minor in 2020, and Acuna was an international free agent.

Available in the Rule 5 draft will be RHP Mason Englert, RHP Antoine Kelly, RHP Avery Weems, LHP Cody Bradford, and 1B Blaine Crim, among others. If any of these names concern you, at least know that they’ll have plenty of company. This MLB Pipeline article shows which top-30 prospects were selected and omitted from every team. 177 top-30 prospects were eligible, but only 78 were selected, leaving 99 top-30 names on the market. Another 35 protected players weren’t in a top 30. Beauty lies in the eye.

Entering yesterday, ten clubs had full rosters, meaning they couldn’t add anybody without jettisoning someone else. The median number of available slots per team was three. Texas, with six open slots, was an outlier.

Texas's top 30 is an outlier too. There are many teams who left off their own top 30 guys who wouldn't be in Texas's top 30.

 

[saddles]

So as Lucas states there is alot of good talent out there that can get picked up rule 5 and alot of full rosters. I don’t expect to lose more than one

There is a lot of time for teams to empty roster space to prepare for adding via Rule 5. If there is a lot of talent available to be drafted in Rule 5, then several clubs will jettison some roster fodder to acquire some of that talent.

 

[saddles]

You can’t blame people for not being sold on Martin yet.
He had a spectacular year but still had a high SIERA. Low K/9 high BB/9.
Had a lot of called strikes go his way and left a lot of runners stranded. Kinda got lucky.
His HR/9 will go up as well

I will ask you the question then. How long does Perez's ERA have to hover around 3.00 or below before you start to believe that that is who he is now? Would you even believe it at the end of next season?

 

[saddles]

You can’t blame people for not being sold on Martin yet.

That was true in June. I think some blame is in order now. We will see though.

It may be time to start putting some blame on over-utilizing the stats that suggest Perez was lucky, too. Lucky for an entire year, no less.

 

[armadillooutlaw]

That was true in June. I think some blame is in order now. We will see though.

It may be time to start putting some blame on over-utilizing the stats that suggest Perez was lucky, too. Lucky for an entire year, no less.

As long as his control can remain consistent and he can keep generating lots of weak contact there's no reason to think he won't continue to perform.
His game isn't predicated on sexy strikeout numbers.

 

[DTC]

I will ask you the question then. How long does Perez's ERA have to hover around 3.00 or below before you start to believe that that is who he is now? Would you even believe it at the end of next season?

I’ll believe it after about 5-6 starts

 

[DTC]

As long as his control can remain consistent and he can keep generating lots of weak contact there's no reason to think he won't continue to perform.
His game isn't predicated on sexy strikeout numbers.

No but most pitchers with a high SIERA/Low K/9 tend to regress back to avg after an above avg season.
Stroman is about the only exception
Maybe Martin can be an exception as well, but only time will tell

 

[Kelleyman]

There is a lot of time for teams to empty roster space to prepare for adding via Rule 5. If there is a lot of talent available to be drafted in Rule 5, then several clubs will jettison some roster fodder to acquire some of that talent.

Theoretically true and I thought of that as well
But I don’t think so. Their is some inherent risk in a lot of stuff.

So you are the outlier in your near failing grade of TX rule 5 protection. We shall see how it pans out. He thought Ornelas might be lost. He had a pretty high value evidently as @DTC did early on.
From all I know we may drop one and participate in draft

Who
Knows

 

[saddles]

He thought Ornelas might be lost.

It seems that Lucas, Newberg and Tepid all tend to rate shortstops a lot higher than I do. They still thought the world of Anderson Tejeda right up until the time he was released.

 

[Kelleyman]

It seems that Lucas, Newberg and Tepid all tend to rate shortstops a lot higher than I do. They still thought the world of Anderson Tejeda right up until the time he was released.

I think the SS rating is inherent throughout the industry but yeah it is not bad as in Jung’s case going after him vs SS

But Ornelas plays many positions

 

[saddles]

I think the SS rating is inherent throughout the industry but yeah it is not bad as in Jung’s case going after him vs SS

But Ornelas plays many positions

Yeah, he does now. Almost all of our SS prospects have to learn other positions because of the Seager signing.

 

[saddles]

I think the SS rating is inherent throughout the industry but yeah it is not bad as in Jung’s case going after him vs SS

But Ornelas plays many positions

I think SS acquisition by clubs is more out of line with need than any other position. The sheer oversupply of SS should make them less valuable across the board, but it doesn't.

 

[saddles]

So you are the outlier in your near failing grade of TX rule 5 protection

Lol. I am not sure there is enough interest in the subject to even have an outlier.

 

[BULLPEN FAILURE]

Lol. I am not sure there is enough interest in the subject to even have an outlier.

you are the audience

 

[DTC]

Number of players who had a 110 or high WRC+ By position

C-10 used 350 AB or more
1B-16
2B-7
3B-13
SS-7
OF-27- 10 in the corners 7 in CF
DH-17

I think this is why SS are so valuable and sought after.

 

[Kelleyman]

 

[Kelleyman]

Indeed. Expanded responsibilities? In more meetings. Interface more with rest of staff

 

[Kelleyman]

Lol

 

[DTC]

 

[saddles]

Number of players who had a 110 or high WRC+ By position

C-10 used 350 AB or more
1B-16
2B-7
3B-13
SS-7
OF-27- 10 in the corners 7 in CF
DH-17

I think this is why SS are so valuable and sought after.

Because they tend to be worse hitters than others?