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Bring On The Baylor Bears

douggie

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On Saturday at 12:30 pm the Baylor Bears and the Duke Blue Devils will be meeting up in Week 3 college football action at Wallace Wade Stadium. Duke has only played Baylor once, winning that game in 1958 12-7.

Baylor is sitting at 0-2 to open up the season, following a 48-45 loss to Liberty in the opener and a 17-10 defeat at the hands of UTSA in Week 2. In that game, Bears QB Anu Solomon posted a 10-of-26 line for 121 yards, a TD and a pick. John Lovett was the top Baylor rusher with 18 carries for 72 yards. This year so far, Solomon has 399 yards with four touchdowns and two picks, while Lovett leads Baylor on 32 carries for 161 yards and two TDs. Chris Platt is the Bears’ lead receiver with 160 yards and two scores on seven receptions.

Duke is coming off of two impressive outings against NC Central and a Northwestern team who the Devils have had trouble beating until last Saturday. In that Northwestern game, Devils QB Daniel Jones went 29-of-45 for 305 yards, two scores and a pick. Jones also led Duke in rushing on 16 carries for 108 yards and two TDs.

2017 Team Stats --------------- Baylor -------- Duke
----------------------------------------------------------------
Points Per Game --------------- 27.5 ----------- 50.5
Points Allowed Per Game ---- 32.5----------- 12.0
Total Yards ---------------------- 403.0----------- 531.0
Yards Passing ----------------- 207.5----------- 293.0
Yards Rushing ----------------- 195.5----------- 238.0
Yards Allowed ------------------ 480.0---------- 174.5
Pass Yards Allowed --------- 301.0----------- 131.5
Rush Yards Allowed --------- 179.0----------- 43.0

Baylor is 4-1 ATS in the last five games versus the ACC and 2-7 ATS in the last nine games overall. The Bears are also 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games in September.

Meanwhile, Duke is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. The Blue Devils are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and 6-2 ATS in the last eight games on grass.

So far this year, these two teams have been heading in opposite directions. Baylor has more issues than a lot of people realized to open the season, and Duke simply seems to be cruising. Duke is a -14 point favorite this week.
 

DJ

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Baylor wins, 48-23.
 

DJ

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Duke's defense will allow more than they should but still garner a comfortable win.
 

douggie

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Duke's defense will allow more than they should but still garner a comfortable win.

I'll give you Baylor and -14 points. You want any of that action?
 
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