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nuraman00
Well-Known Member
Jefferson is not going to be as productive after his new contract. Elton Brand and Jermaine O'Neal suddenly lost it one year. (Brand after his injury in 2008).
Jefferson is going to be the same. Early in his new contract, there's going to be a sharp decline. I don't think he has the game to keep it up.
His rebounding will probably fall first, then his scoring.
I'd do 4 years, $10M per year, but not more than that, and I'd hope the final year salary is 13M or less.
I would not give him 5 years.
It might make the team worse to go after younger but worse players, but I think it's better than being stuck with a large contract and declining productivity.
Ideally, they'd get someone like Josh Smith, who is better and I think will be more stable.
Remember the comments after Okur resigned? Someone posted "Memo is kind of lame now". That's where I see Jefferson headed, within 2 years. Because of his lack of mobility, I don't think his game can last. He relies a lot on pump fakes in the post to get open. And if you take that away, and all that's left is his jump shot, that's not as good of a player. And I think his pump fakes will stop working within 2 years.
Add to it that I don't think he can get the tough rebounds that are necessary. His rebounding averages are fine, but there's a difference between the way he rebounds, and Boozer rebounds. Boozer can still box people out and go for 19-20 rebounds. Jefferson gets rebounds because he's tall, like Troy Murphy.
Jefferson is going to be the same. Early in his new contract, there's going to be a sharp decline. I don't think he has the game to keep it up.
His rebounding will probably fall first, then his scoring.
I'd do 4 years, $10M per year, but not more than that, and I'd hope the final year salary is 13M or less.
I would not give him 5 years.
It might make the team worse to go after younger but worse players, but I think it's better than being stuck with a large contract and declining productivity.
Ideally, they'd get someone like Josh Smith, who is better and I think will be more stable.
Remember the comments after Okur resigned? Someone posted "Memo is kind of lame now". That's where I see Jefferson headed, within 2 years. Because of his lack of mobility, I don't think his game can last. He relies a lot on pump fakes in the post to get open. And if you take that away, and all that's left is his jump shot, that's not as good of a player. And I think his pump fakes will stop working within 2 years.
Add to it that I don't think he can get the tough rebounds that are necessary. His rebounding averages are fine, but there's a difference between the way he rebounds, and Boozer rebounds. Boozer can still box people out and go for 19-20 rebounds. Jefferson gets rebounds because he's tall, like Troy Murphy.