2018 Season Games and Confidence of games.

[Jack_John_Mark]

This is not the only thing I used in my homework formula, but.....

Average recruiting rankings since 2014 (per 247)

Nebraska - 27
UCF - 67

Akron - 125
Colorado - 60
Troy - 108
Michigan - 15
Purdue - 68
Wisconsin - 38
N'western - 53
Minnesota - 53
Ohio St - 4
Illinois - 58
Michigan St - 27
Iowa - 49

Sir yer pouring sugar into my previously unsweetened koolaid.....and it’s more gooder

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

That is amazing that Wisconsin averages out at 38th over the last 4 years given the amount of success they’ve been having.

 

[huskers1217]

@mall3013

i will do a 2 month avy bet that nebraska wins 8 games this year (including bowl game) with anyone.

 

[Red_Alert]

That is amazing that Wisconsin averages out at 38th over the last 4 years given the amount of success they’ve been having.

They remind me a lot of Blopleeny teams. Not a lot of success against elite teams. Like Iowa, Missouri, etc. They look good when everyone else is bad.

Wisconsin (13-1) was #4 in Total Defense last season.
Well yeah, these are the Total Offense ranking of their opponents.

Utah St (MWC) (6-7) #59
FAU (CUSA) (11-3) #5
BYU (IND) (4-9) #107
N'western (10-3) #49
Nebraska (4-8) #91
Purdue (7-6) #53
Maryland (4-8) #121
Illinois (2-10) #127
Indiana (5-7) #84
Iowa (8-5) #105
Michigan (8-5) #96
Minnesota (5-7) #123
Ohio St (12-2) #3 (L)
Miami, FL (ACC) (10-3) #52

Ironic Stat.....

Maryland was a common opponent of UCF and Wisconsin last season.

UCF 5 year average recruiting ranking: 68
Wiscy 5 year average recruiting ranking: 38

UCF....... 38
Maryland 10

Wiscy..... 38
Maryland 13

 

[tometom]

wiscy also benefits from the style of offense. their TOP in 2017 was 35:29, #3 in the country. defense on the field less so give up less points/yardage.

 

[Red_Alert]

wiscy also benefits from the style of offense. their TOP in 2017 was 35:29, #3 in the country. defense on the field less so give up less points/yardage.

Legitimate point.

 

[HuskerinBig10]

9/1 Akron - WIN
9/8 Colorado - should win
9/15 Troy - might win - might win confidence is 30%
9/22 @Michigan - L (see note at bottom)
9/29 Purdue - might win - might win confidence is 40%
10/6 @Wisconsin - L
10/13 @Northwestern - might win confidence is 20%
10/20 Minnesota - WIN
11/3 @Ohio State - L
11/10 Illinois - WIN
11/17 Michigan State - might win confidence is 5%
11/23 @Iowa - might win - might win confidence is 20%

I did not follow the rules because I gave a might win for Michigan State at 5%.

I have
three wins - Akron, Minnesota, Illinois
One Should win - Colorado
Five Might wins - Troy(30%), Purdue(40%), Northwestern(30%), Michigan State(5%), Iowa(20%)
Three Losses - Michigan, Wisconsin(blowout, 20 or more), Ohio State(blowout, 20 or more)


Scott Frost as coach against Jim Harbaugh is 1-1, but put up a lot of points on Stanford. Average of 46 points per game.

 

[Red_Alert]

Stat..

jimHairbawl has less wins in his first 3 years at Michigan than blopleeny did in his first 3 years at Nebraska.

jimhairbawl (28-11)
blopleeny (29-12)

That being said, Michigan 'should' be favored against Nebraska being they are at home, and a 4th year coach against a 1st year coach.

 

[FNG]

As of today. Me, RA and HiB10.
(rounding up or down)

Will 3.6 - 4
Should 1.6 - 2
Might 4.3 - 4
Won't - 2.3 - 2

so a 6-6 season

 

[Red_Alert]

As of today. Me, RA and HiB10.
(rounding up or down)

Will 3.6 - 4
Should 1.6 - 2
Might 4.3 - 4
Won't - 2.3 - 2

so a 6-6 season

Should be more than 2 "won't" no?

We both have Ohio St as "won't.

HIB10 has Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio St as won't.
That is if he meant "L" = "won't"

 

[Red_Alert]

That reminds me. Go throw a rock @jedburks window.

 

[FNG]

That reminds me. Go throw a rock @jedburks window.

rock has been toss!!

 

[corn train]

Akron - Will
Colorado - Will
Troy - Might
@ Michigan - Won't
Purdue - Will
@ Wisconsin - Won't
@ Northwestern - Might
Minnesota - Will
@ Ohio State - WON'T
Illinois - Will
Michigan State - Might
@ Iowa - Will

 

[tometom]

looking for more data points, here would be my thoughts:

Akron - will
Colorado - will
Troy - should
@ Michigan - might
Purdue - will
@ Wisconsin - might
@ Northwestern - might
Minnesota - should
@ Ohio State - won't
Illinois - will
Michigan State - might
@ Iowa - might

 

[tometom]

i'm just not a won't guy. i mean crazy things happen in CFB all the time. i also feel like the scheme last year was just so awful that things just spiraled. i thought those coaches didn't prepare guys the right way and that sure in the first few series they were making some plays, but the other teams adjusted to those things and the coaches couldn't do anything to counteract that. I think SF and this staff bring a lot more to the table in that respect. Also, the huge turnover of guys and the attitude adjustment can go a lot of ways that i don't want to count them out until we've seen something.

 

[Red_Alert]

I'll reiterate.

Nebraska has equal or more talent than 9 of it's opponents. The edge for those opponents will be experience.

The 'equal to' would be Michigan St.
Those with more talent than Nebraska would be Ohio St. and Michigan.
Harbaugh has not done a good job of developing Michigan's talent as shown in their (8-5) season last year.

Nebraska's talent was seemingly under-developed and poorly coached to the point of an uncaring clusterfuck.
I think the team is inspired to play for Frost and motivated.
How fast Frost can get Nebraska's talent developed and coached up is the question. That process continues next week.

 

[Tomhusker]

I'll reiterate.

Nebraska has equal or more talent than 9 of it's opponents. The edge for those opponents will be experience.

The 'equal to' would be Michigan St.
Those with more talent than Nebraska would be Ohio St. and Michigan.
Harbaugh has not done a good job of developing Michigan's talent as shown in their (8-5) season last year.

Nebraska's talent was seemingly under-developed and poorly coached to the point of an uncaring clusterfuck.
I think the team is inspired to play for Frost and motivated.
How fast Frost can get Nebraska's talent developed and coached up is the question. That process continues next week.

3-9 is optimistic imo. I've got them at 2-10

This guy:

That'll be tough lol. But for real. 2-10. Wins over Akron and Illinois

Your D is atrocious. Yes you have a theoretical upgrade at QB but you all said the same thing last year as you store no one could turn it over more than Armstrong . The only position on your team that is what I'd classify as B10 level is wide receiver where you all are very very good. If you're hanging your hopes on a freshman QN with a below average OL, bad running backs and a bottom 10 D1 defense I'd say good luck . Add in a far more difficult schedule and I say 2-10. Sure it could be a few games better but you're not sniffing a bowl game

 

[rmilia1]

This guy:

Lol at Nebraska having more yalevt than 9 of their opponents. No... just no

 

[Red_Alert]

Lol at Nebraska having more yalevt than 9 of their opponents. No... just no

Read it and weep.
Don't confuse 'undeveloped and poorly coached' with having a 'lack of talent'.

This is not the only thing I used in my homework formula, but.....

Average recruiting rankings since 2014 (per 247)

Nebraska - 27
UCF - 67

Akron - 125
Colorado - 60
Troy - 108
Michigan - 15
Purdue - 68
Wisconsin - 38
N'western - 53
Minnesota - 53
Ohio St - 4
Illinois - 58
Michigan St - 27
Iowa - 49

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

I'll reiterate.

Nebraska has equal or more talent than 9 of it's opponents. The edge for those opponents will be experience.

The 'equal to' would be Michigan St.
Those with more talent than Nebraska would be Ohio St. and Michigan.
Harbaugh has not done a good job of developing Michigan's talent as shown in their (8-5) season last year.

Nebraska's talent was seemingly under-developed and poorly coached to the point of an uncaring clusterfuck.
I think the team is inspired to play for Frost and motivated.
How fast Frost can get Nebraska's talent developed and coached up is the question. That process continues next week.

I think the wild card factor is how fast a new staff can get a group of guys all on the same page. Buying completely in and what not.

When I played high school basketball I went through 4 different head coaches in 4 years, and man let me tell you....that’s difficult.

I bought in each time because I just simply want to win, but many teammates didn’t. Strong leadership can fix that.

This upcoming year is one of the most difficult seasons to predict that I can ever remember.